Turnout: 69.50%

Overview

The 2025 Canadian federal election, held on 28 April 2025, delivered the Liberal Party a fourth consecutive term in one of the most dramatic turnarounds in Canadian political history. Under new leader Mark Carney — the former governor of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England — the Liberals won 169 of the 343 seats and 43.76% of the vote, their highest vote share since 1980 and their first popular-vote victory since 2015, though they fell just short of a majority. The Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre won 144 seats and 41.31%, a strong result that nonetheless left them in opposition; Poilievre lost his own Ottawa-area seat. The Bloc Québécois took 22 seats, the NDP collapsed to 7 (losing official party status), and the Greens held 1. Turnout climbed to 69.5%.

The electoral system

This was the first election fought on a redrawn map of 343 ridings — up from 338 — following the redistribution based on the 2021 census, with a majority now requiring 172 seats. Members were again elected by first-past-the-post, and the leader of the party commanding the confidence of the House becomes prime minister. The map on this page shows the party that won the most seats in each province and territory.

An extraordinary reversal

For most of 2024 the Liberals had appeared headed for a historic defeat, trailing Poilievre's Conservatives by roughly twenty-five points in the polls amid discontent over the cost of living, housing and a decade of Trudeau fatigue. Two shocks transformed the race. First, Justin Trudeau announced his resignation in January 2025, and the Liberals chose Carney — a political newcomer with deep economic credentials — as leader in March. Second, and decisively, the return of Donald Trump to the United States presidency brought sweeping tariff threats against Canada and repeated taunts that the country should become the "51st state." The resulting surge of Canadian nationalism reframed the election around a single question — who could best stand up to Trump and defend Canadian sovereignty and the economy — and voters swung sharply to Carney and away from the smaller parties.

The result and the map

The polarisation of the vote between the two main parties squeezed the others severely. The NDP, whose leader Jagmeet Singh lost his own British Columbia seat and resigned on election night, fell below the twelve seats needed for official party status. The Bloc Québécois was pushed back in Quebec as the Liberals advanced there. On the provincial map the Liberals carried most of the country — Ontario, Quebec, the Atlantic provinces, British Columbia and the North — while the Conservatives once again dominated the Prairies, sweeping Alberta and Saskatchewan and leading in Manitoba. The combined Liberal-plus-Conservative vote share, above 85%, was the highest for the two leading parties in decades.

Aftermath

Carney formed a minority government, needing the support of other members to pass legislation, and took office facing the immediate challenge of managing the trade and sovereignty confrontation with the United States that had defined the campaign. His victory completed a remarkable personal ascent — from unelected central banker to prime minister within months — and extended Liberal governance into a second decade.

Official data source

Elections Canada — official voting results of the 45th general election — elections.ca.

Compiled and reviewed by Bartłomiej Paruzel, Election Data Analyst, from official results. See our data methodology.

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